Analyzing the Odds: Trump’s Electoral Prospects in 2024

As the political carousel spins once more towards the possibility of a Trump comeback, I, for one, find myself reaching for the popcorn and wondering, “Could it really happen again?” Yes, folks, you heard it from me, the self-proclaimed Trump critic. So, let’s embark on a journey into the land of political satire, where statistics mingle with humor, and where even the most ardent anti-Trumpers may find a chuckle or two.

In the aftermath of President Biden’s tenure, marked by more twists and turns than a soap opera, some of us skeptics are left scratching our heads and pondering: Could a return to Trumpian antics, at the sprightly age of 78, actually offer a silver lining?

Imagine a world where diplomacy is conducted via Twitter, where snarky tweets and meme-worthy handshakes replace traditional negotiations. It’s an unconventional approach, to say the least, but who am I to deny the entertainment value of international politics on social media?

Now, let’s talk about NATO – the beloved alliance that brings together nations like a dysfunctional family at Christmas dinner. Remember those summits that felt more like awkward reunions than strategic meetings? Under Trump’s leadership, they were less about alliances and more about awkward encounters and passive-aggressive handshakes. While unconventional, perhaps this unorthodox approach could shake up the status quo in ways we never anticipated. After all, what better way to gauge international relations than through late-night comedians’ material?

And speaking of NATO, did you know that each member country contributes a certain percentage of its GDP to the alliance? It’s like a family potluck, but instead of bringing a dish, you bring a chunk of your national budget. Some countries, like the United States, contribute a hefty portion, while others, well, let’s just say they bring a side salad when everyone else brought a roast turkey. But hey, at least it gives us something to bicker about during those awkward family gatherings – I mean, NATO summits.

Now, before you start hurling tomatoes at your screen, let me make one thing clear: I’m not hopping aboard the Trump Train anytime soon. If you need proof of how much I dislike him, just read any article about him on this blog! But even the staunchest critics can’t deny the sheer spectacle of American politics.

As we navigate the choppy waters of uncertainty, let’s remember to keep our sense of humour intact. After all, in the wild world of American politics, anything is possible. So, whether you’re a die-hard supporter or a fervent skeptic like me, buckle up and brace yourselves for the next chapter in the saga. It’s sure to be a wild ride!

Trump’s Situation – It’s Actually a Win-Win for Him

One of the most bizarre and corrupt aspects of the US political system is often ignored or forgotten – and that is the Presidential Pardon. A Presidential Pardon allows the President of the United States to completely exonerate ANY USA citizen without any excuse or explanation.

The authority to take such action is granted to the president by Article II, Section 2, Clause 1 of the U.S. Constitution. The president’s pardon power is technically limited to federal offenses because the Constitution only grants the President the power to pardon offenses against the United States.

But a lot of confusion surrounds the Presidential Pardon. Can they pardon themselves? Can they use it to halt or alter impeachment proceedings? It really is up to the decision of the President at the time. It is used regularly – after Nixon was impeached and nearly convicted (resigning the day before the judgement – classy move) Ford used the Presidential Pardon to exonerate Nixon of any of his past crimes. His justification? The country had to move on. But it is more likely that this was a political decision to avoid added damage to the Republican Party.

The Presidential Pardon is most commonly used on a President’s last day in office. It’s their last chance to use the power and they won’t have to face a backlash because the people they exonerated will be free and the President does not have to answer for it.

On Bill Clinton’s last day as President, he used his power under the U.S. Constitution to grant pardons and clemency to 456 people, thus commuting the sentences of those already convicted of a crime and obviating a trial for those not yet convicted. On January 20, 2001, he pardoned 140 people in the final hours of his presidency. Why? We will never know the full answer. But most of the people Clinton pardoned in the last few days were tax dodgers, frauds, people involved in conspiracies to defraud the government and making false statements to Federal Agents. And people wonder why Trump was able to beat Hilary Clinton. The Clinton’s are synonymous with corruption and I would never trust either of them – political robots.

But this brings me on to Trump’s situation. He’s already escaped being convicted after being impeached so he does not need to worry about himself – unless new evidence comes to light which is certainly a possibility. But either way you look at Trump’s current situation it is a win-win for him.

I don’t really believe he ever wanted to be President. What started out as a publicity stunt soon became a vision of a political outsider which soon took control of the Republican Party and went on to become President. Does he want another four years as President? Who can say?

But this is where he emerges as the winner, an example of how unfair life is. He will win. Because if he loses this election he will be able to pardon anyone connected to his crimes, which we all know he has committed. Epstein, Prince Andrew, Ghislaine Maxwell … the list goes on. He could completely pardon them on his last day in office. Leaving himself to live the rest of his life knowing that he and his evil gang would be free forever. He’d remain the first person to become President of the USA without ever holding any sort of political office before. That’s a win.

If he gets re-elected (and if you’re smart you would not rule this out as a possibility) then he gets to stay in power as the most powerful man in the world. A man who assaults women, says prisoners of war are really to blame for their own capture, advised people to drink bleach to fight Coronavirus and struggles to count backwards from 100. He’d then be able to claim that he served as President for as long as he could and he would still retain the power to pardon any of his chums whenever he wishes. That’s definitely a win.

People seem to think that if he loses the November election it’ll be a huge victory for the common man. Do you think Donald Trump cares? When people on the internet make memes about his hair or orange tan, do you think he cares? Do you think he even notices? He’s spent his entire life as a millionaire. He has proved that he can do what he wants, say what he wants, spend time with whoever he wants and still rise to the highest office in the world.

If all that isn’t winning at life then I’m not sure what is.